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Treasury paper questions Auckland’s actual population growth

An analytical paper published by the NZ Treasury last week raises questions about the accuracy of migration figures, largely because of the hard-to-analyse internal migration.

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Migrants still coming, but more leaving

The big change in migration in the last month & the last 12 months is the rise in exits from New Zealand.

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Migrant inflow continues to slide

New Zealand’s net migrant inflow continued to slide in October, by nearly 1000 for the month compared to the previous October.

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November net migrant inflow down 40%, annual rate down 19% as new measure...

If you mix 2 different methods of measuring migration – and even you use only the new measure - New Zealand suffered an extreme decline in its population gain in November. Statistics NZ’s calculations...

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Countdown to 5 million population is on

Statistics NZ expects New Zealand’s resident population to reach 5 million late this year or in 2020, based on recent trends, after hitting 4.9 million at the end of September.

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Migrant inflow up as exit count adjusted down

Statistics NZ has created a highly confusing, and moving, picture of migration with its new formula, which became the official formula last month. But the long & short of it is that emigration has...

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Now the migrant inflow is rising again

Statistics NZ’s estimate of the net inflow of migrants has risen 35% - 15,000 more immigrants - from its first count for the 12 months to November through to its rolling 12-month count to January.

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Immigration trends upward

Statistics NZ’s monthly migration figures, out today, show a rise in net immigration in March compared to March last year – 4468 (3396) – and an annual net inflow of 56,137 (50,628).

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Migration estimate looks upward again

Statistics NZ has provisionally estimated the net migrant inflow for the 12 months to April at 55,834 (± 1,600).

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Migrant inflow count just over 50,000

Statistics NZ’s migration count for the year to May shows a marginal increase over the previous year, and the net inflow down by 9-13,000 compared to 2016-17.

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Half the record net migrant inflow is into Auckland

The net inflow of migrants continued to rise in June, reaching a record 72,305 for the June year – and 50% of that total was into Auckland.

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Immigrants drive 2%/year population growth, 10-14yos decline

New Zealand’s population grew by over 2% in each of the last 2 June years, and by a record 100,400 in the last 12 months.

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Migration – quick numbers

Below are the basic migration numbers for the month of August & 12 months to August.

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Over half net migrant inflow is into Auckland as destination

New Zealand’s migrant inflow rose slightly in January, has fallen by 1200 over 12 months but is still running at just above 70,000/year.

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Net migrant inflow now just under 50,000/year

Statistics NZ said on Friday its first estimate of the net migrant inflow for the 12 months to June is 49,400.

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KiwiBuild still needs clear pathway after “overly ambitious” target dropped

When the monthly migration figures come out next Wednesday showing New Zealand is still importing a net 50,000 migrants/year – requiring half the 35,000 homes/year for which building consents are...

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Migrant inflow on the up side of average

Statistics NZ has provisionally estimated the net inflow of migrants in the year to July at 52,722, plus or minus a margin of 1600 up or down.

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Net migrant inflow down 11.4% in year

New Zealand’s net migrant inflow in 2019 fell 11.4% from the previous 12 months, from 49,380 to 43,765, according to Statistics NZ’s calculation out today.

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Confusion lifts migrant inflow estimate to unlikely record

Statistics NZ said yesterday the latest international migration estimates up to February are more uncertain than usual, due to Covid-19 travel restrictions in New Zealand & other countries.

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Migrant inflow soars above 71,000 for year

The net inflow of migrants has soared to a new record in Statistics NZ’s latest count, out yesterday, at least in part because many more visitors than usual have been counted as immigrants.

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